This work is based on a high level model that predicts Chinese energy use by sector and fuel type and corresponding oil import requirements and carbon emissions. The author will discuss many of the basic assumptions in the model and to gather feedback with an overall goal of improving the model and its ability to predict Chinese energy requirements. The results of this model will be compared to the predictions of the International Energy Agency. Additional scenarios will be generated with input from those in attendance. The model also includes an emission permit trading module which forecasts potential costs or revenues for regions engaged in allowance trading.
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